Bitcoin (BTC) returned above $43,000 into Dec. 19 amid fresh news over the United States’ would-be first spot price exchange-traded fund (ETF).BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: TradingView
Bitcoin ETF excitement still simmering
Data from cryptodirectories Markets Pro and TradingView showed a BTC price recovery taking the market to local highs of $43,456 after the daily close.
After starting the week on an uncertain footing, BTC/USD swiftly gathered strength, with the Dec. 18 candle closing over 5% above the day’s low.
Later, news came that asset manager BlackRock, among the applicants to launch the first U.S. Bitcoin spot ETF, had changed the policy around redemptions for its product to include BTC as an option.
“An in-kind redemption of some or all of a Shareholder’s Shares in exchange for the underlying bitcoin represented by the Shares redeemed generally will not be a taxable event to the Shareholder,” the latest iteration of BlackRock’s S1 filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) states.
The document also places new rules over exchange of baskets of shares for cash rather than BTC, the latter subject to regulatory approval.
The SEC is due to begin making final decisions on spot ETF in early January, and next month has become a make-or-break point in Bitcoiners’ diary.
As cryptodirectories reported, various BTC price predictions hinge on successful approval, this now thought to be overwhelmingly likely after years of delays and rejections.
The SEC delayed a final decision on several Ether (ETH) ETFs to May this week.
Bitcoin trader: $50,000 possible before 2024
Between now and then, however, Bitcoin faces both the yearly candle close and various macroeconomic data releases which could add to holiday season volatility.
Related: ‘Inherently bearish’ below $41.5K — 5 things to know in Bitcoin this week
Traders continue to draw lines in the sand both above and below spot price, with a trip below $40,000 still on the cards.
In a video update on Dec. 18, Crypto Ed, creator of trading group CryptoTA, forecast that eventuality playing out before a final push higher potentially sending BTC/USD to $50,000 before the end of 2023.
“Let’s see later in the week how this develops,” he concluded, giving a low target of $38,000.
Popular trader and analyst Matthew Hyland is also optimistic about further upside thanks to a bullish divergence in Bitcoin’s relative strength index (RSI) versus price on daily timeframes.
#BTC confirmed this bullish divergence at the daily close earlier
Already above $43k currently https://t.co/SBUVu4fT2V pic.twitter.com/8qyCBYtMcV— Matthew Hyland (@MatthewHyland_) December 19, 2023
Daily RSI was at 60.45 at the time of writing, having cooled from overheated levels as Bitcoin fell from its recent 19-month high above $44,000.
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.